09 Jun 2025
Data & Analytics

A distributed relational database engine for Bayesian inference in IoT

Confidence
Engagement
Net use signal
Net buy signal

Idea type: Swamp

The market has seen several mediocre solutions that nobody loves. Unless you can offer something fundamentally different, you’ll likely struggle to stand out or make money.

Should You Build It?

Don't build it.


Your are here

You're entering a market that already has several solutions, but the engagement with those solutions is low, suggesting that those available solutions haven't fully satisfied the needs of their target users. With 5 similar products already available, it's a competitive space, but because the engagement is low, there's an opportunity to build something better. None of the available products seem to generate a strong opinion in either direction, and people are mostly neutral about using or buying them. This is both good and bad. It's good because it means there's no strong, established competitor to displace. It's bad because it means you will have to invest a lot of time educating your users and convincing them of the need for this tool. According to our framework, this puts you in the 'Swamp' category, indicating that if you can't offer something fundamentally different, you’ll likely struggle to stand out. Therefore, you should carefully consider whether to proceed.

Recommendations

  1. Given the presence of similar products, start by thoroughly researching why those existing solutions haven’t gained significant traction. Talk to potential users, analyze their pain points, and identify gaps in the market that your solution can uniquely address. For example, rqlite's users were divided on distributed SQLite's concept - can you identify why and avoid the same pitfalls?
  2. If you decide to move forward, identify a specific niche or group of users within the IoT space that are particularly underserved by existing database solutions. Focus on tailoring your distributed relational database engine to meet their specific needs for Bayesian inference. By concentrating on a specific audience and tailoring to their needs, you can establish a strong foundation before expanding to broader markets.
  3. Before committing to building a complete database engine, consider developing smaller, targeted tools or integrations that work with existing database providers and IoT platforms. This approach allows you to validate your core concepts, gather user feedback, and build a reputation within the community before investing heavily in a full-fledged product.
  4. Based on the criticism of similar products, pay close attention to node discovery and data distribution strategies. Implement DNS-SD for easier node discovery, and carefully consider whether all data needs to be available at every node. Optimize for low-density writing to improve performance and efficiency. Remember, these are important considerations for distributed database systems.
  5. Explore related problems in the IoT data management space that might be more promising or less competitive. For instance, instead of focusing solely on Bayesian inference, consider addressing broader data integration, security, or visualization challenges. By looking at adjacent problems, you might discover a more viable market opportunity with less competition.
  6. If after thorough research and experimentation, you find that the market for a distributed relational database engine for Bayesian inference in IoT is too saturated or challenging, be prepared to pivot to a different idea. Don't be afraid to cut your losses and focus your energy on a more promising opportunity. This is especially crucial if the initial engagement remains low despite your efforts.

Questions

  1. Given the existing solutions and their low engagement, what specific, unmet needs of IoT users will your distributed database engine address, and how will you validate these needs before committing significant resources to development?
  2. Considering the discussions and criticisms surrounding similar products, particularly the concerns about node discovery and data distribution, how will you ensure that your engine is easy to deploy, manage, and scale in real-world IoT environments?
  3. Given the 'Swamp' category classification and the neutral sentiment towards existing solutions, what is your plan to create significant and immediate value for your initial target users and how will you build a sustainable competitive advantage?

Your are here

You're entering a market that already has several solutions, but the engagement with those solutions is low, suggesting that those available solutions haven't fully satisfied the needs of their target users. With 5 similar products already available, it's a competitive space, but because the engagement is low, there's an opportunity to build something better. None of the available products seem to generate a strong opinion in either direction, and people are mostly neutral about using or buying them. This is both good and bad. It's good because it means there's no strong, established competitor to displace. It's bad because it means you will have to invest a lot of time educating your users and convincing them of the need for this tool. According to our framework, this puts you in the 'Swamp' category, indicating that if you can't offer something fundamentally different, you’ll likely struggle to stand out. Therefore, you should carefully consider whether to proceed.

Recommendations

  1. Given the presence of similar products, start by thoroughly researching why those existing solutions haven’t gained significant traction. Talk to potential users, analyze their pain points, and identify gaps in the market that your solution can uniquely address. For example, rqlite's users were divided on distributed SQLite's concept - can you identify why and avoid the same pitfalls?
  2. If you decide to move forward, identify a specific niche or group of users within the IoT space that are particularly underserved by existing database solutions. Focus on tailoring your distributed relational database engine to meet their specific needs for Bayesian inference. By concentrating on a specific audience and tailoring to their needs, you can establish a strong foundation before expanding to broader markets.
  3. Before committing to building a complete database engine, consider developing smaller, targeted tools or integrations that work with existing database providers and IoT platforms. This approach allows you to validate your core concepts, gather user feedback, and build a reputation within the community before investing heavily in a full-fledged product.
  4. Based on the criticism of similar products, pay close attention to node discovery and data distribution strategies. Implement DNS-SD for easier node discovery, and carefully consider whether all data needs to be available at every node. Optimize for low-density writing to improve performance and efficiency. Remember, these are important considerations for distributed database systems.
  5. Explore related problems in the IoT data management space that might be more promising or less competitive. For instance, instead of focusing solely on Bayesian inference, consider addressing broader data integration, security, or visualization challenges. By looking at adjacent problems, you might discover a more viable market opportunity with less competition.
  6. If after thorough research and experimentation, you find that the market for a distributed relational database engine for Bayesian inference in IoT is too saturated or challenging, be prepared to pivot to a different idea. Don't be afraid to cut your losses and focus your energy on a more promising opportunity. This is especially crucial if the initial engagement remains low despite your efforts.

Questions

  1. Given the existing solutions and their low engagement, what specific, unmet needs of IoT users will your distributed database engine address, and how will you validate these needs before committing significant resources to development?
  2. Considering the discussions and criticisms surrounding similar products, particularly the concerns about node discovery and data distribution, how will you ensure that your engine is easy to deploy, manage, and scale in real-world IoT environments?
  3. Given the 'Swamp' category classification and the neutral sentiment towards existing solutions, what is your plan to create significant and immediate value for your initial target users and how will you build a sustainable competitive advantage?

  • Confidence: Medium
    • Number of similar products: 5
  • Engagement: Low
    • Average number of comments: 1
  • Net use signal: -26.0%
    • Positive use signal: 0.0%
    • Negative use signal: 26.0%
  • Net buy signal: 0.0%
    • Positive buy signal: 0.0%
    • Negative buy signal: 0.0%

This chart summarizes all the similar products we found for your idea in a single plot.

The x-axis represents the overall feedback each product received. This is calculated from the net use and buy signals that were expressed in the comments. The maximum is +1, which means all comments (across all similar products) were positive, expressed a willingness to use & buy said product. The minimum is -1 and it means the exact opposite.

The y-axis captures the strength of the signal, i.e. how many people commented and how does this rank against other products in this category. The maximum is +1, which means these products were the most liked, upvoted and talked about launches recently. The minimum is 0, meaning zero engagement or feedback was received.

The sizes of the product dots are determined by the relevance to your idea, where 10 is the maximum.

Your idea is the big blueish dot, which should lie somewhere in the polygon defined by these products. It can be off-center because we use custom weighting to summarize these metrics.

Similar products

Relevance

rqlite 7.15, the distributed DB built on SQLite, now with backups to S3

29 Apr 2023 Developer Tools

Users are divided on the concept of distributed SQLite. Some find it innovative and suitable for MVPs and edge computing, while others prefer traditional centralized databases like Postgres. The idea is seen as thought-provoking but not universally accepted.

The product needs DNS-SD for node discovery, and there are concerns about whether all data is needed at every node. Additionally, there is skepticism about the concept of distributed SQLite.


Avatar
13
4
-25.0%
4
13
Relevance

PostData – The No-Fuss Way to Store and Visualize Your IoT Data

07 May 2023 Developer Tools

Hey everyone,I'm excited to announce the launch of PostData, a new service that simplifies IoT data storage and visualization. As developers, we know how frustrating it can be to set up complicated services like AWS just to store and view our data. That's why we created PostData – to offer a straightforward solution that gets the job done without all the hassle.With PostData, you can easily ingest, store, and visualize your IoT data in just a few clicks. We offer a forever-free plan that allows you to create new public devices with up to 20 metrics and a limit of 1000 messages per device. We also have two paid plans for private devices and higher limits for those who need them.We're looking for beta users to try out our service and provide feedback. So if you're tired of struggling with complicated IoT data storage and visualization tools, give PostData a try and let us know what you think!Thanks for your time, and I look forward to hearing from you.


Avatar
7
7
Top