14 Jun 2025
Health

A cure to cancer that is contained in a pill

Confidence
Engagement
Net use signal
Net buy signal

Idea type: Swamp

The market has seen several mediocre solutions that nobody loves. Unless you can offer something fundamentally different, you’ll likely struggle to stand out or make money.

Should You Build It?

Don't build it.


Your are here

Your idea of a "cure to cancer in a pill" falls into a challenging category we call the 'Swamp'. This isn't because the idea itself is bad – curing cancer is an incredibly noble goal – but because many have tried and failed to create a widely adopted solution. Our analysis shows three similar products, indicating some prior attempts, but with very low engagement (average of 1 comment). This suggests these prior attempts haven't resonated strongly with the market. There's no discernible net use or buy signal in the comments of those similar products, which means there's little evidence of people explicitly wanting or willing to pay for similar solutions as they currently exist. Because others have tried this and the competition has been around for a while, it is hard to stand out without something dramatically different.

Recommendations

  1. Deeply research why existing 'cure for cancer' solutions haven’t achieved widespread success. Understand the nuances of their failures and the specific barriers they encountered. Look into factors like efficacy, side effects, accessibility, and regulatory hurdles to identify potential gaps.
  2. Instead of aiming for a broad "cure," identify a specific, underserved group of cancer patients or a particular type of cancer. Focusing on a niche allows you to tailor your solution and potentially achieve more meaningful results faster. Consider cancers with limited treatment options or patient populations that are often overlooked.
  3. Explore the possibility of building tools or resources that support existing cancer treatment providers, rather than directly competing with them. This could involve developing diagnostic tools, supportive care solutions, or platforms for data sharing and collaboration. You could create tools to help them do their jobs better.
  4. Step back and evaluate adjacent problems in the cancer space that might be more promising and have a clearer path to success. Consider areas such as early detection, personalized medicine, or improving the quality of life for cancer patients. Maybe you'll find a less saturated area where you can make an impact without getting stuck in the 'Swamp'.
  5. Given the existing challenges and low engagement with similar past attempts, seriously consider re-directing your energy towards a different opportunity. Your skills and passion could be better applied to a problem with a more viable solution and a clearer market need. Be honest about the probability of success and don't be afraid to pivot.
  6. Based on feedback of similar projects which cite concern about fatality, it would be best to ensure that your work is not only ethical but addresses potential safety concerns of a similar nature.

Questions

  1. What specific, unmet needs of cancer patients or healthcare providers are you uniquely positioned to address with your proposed 'cure in a pill'?
  2. Given the regulatory and ethical complexities of cancer treatment development, what is your plan for navigating these challenges and ensuring patient safety and accessibility?
  3. Considering the limited engagement with similar past attempts, what innovative approaches will you take to generate excitement and build trust with patients, healthcare professionals, and investors?

Your are here

Your idea of a "cure to cancer in a pill" falls into a challenging category we call the 'Swamp'. This isn't because the idea itself is bad – curing cancer is an incredibly noble goal – but because many have tried and failed to create a widely adopted solution. Our analysis shows three similar products, indicating some prior attempts, but with very low engagement (average of 1 comment). This suggests these prior attempts haven't resonated strongly with the market. There's no discernible net use or buy signal in the comments of those similar products, which means there's little evidence of people explicitly wanting or willing to pay for similar solutions as they currently exist. Because others have tried this and the competition has been around for a while, it is hard to stand out without something dramatically different.

Recommendations

  1. Deeply research why existing 'cure for cancer' solutions haven’t achieved widespread success. Understand the nuances of their failures and the specific barriers they encountered. Look into factors like efficacy, side effects, accessibility, and regulatory hurdles to identify potential gaps.
  2. Instead of aiming for a broad "cure," identify a specific, underserved group of cancer patients or a particular type of cancer. Focusing on a niche allows you to tailor your solution and potentially achieve more meaningful results faster. Consider cancers with limited treatment options or patient populations that are often overlooked.
  3. Explore the possibility of building tools or resources that support existing cancer treatment providers, rather than directly competing with them. This could involve developing diagnostic tools, supportive care solutions, or platforms for data sharing and collaboration. You could create tools to help them do their jobs better.
  4. Step back and evaluate adjacent problems in the cancer space that might be more promising and have a clearer path to success. Consider areas such as early detection, personalized medicine, or improving the quality of life for cancer patients. Maybe you'll find a less saturated area where you can make an impact without getting stuck in the 'Swamp'.
  5. Given the existing challenges and low engagement with similar past attempts, seriously consider re-directing your energy towards a different opportunity. Your skills and passion could be better applied to a problem with a more viable solution and a clearer market need. Be honest about the probability of success and don't be afraid to pivot.
  6. Based on feedback of similar projects which cite concern about fatality, it would be best to ensure that your work is not only ethical but addresses potential safety concerns of a similar nature.

Questions

  1. What specific, unmet needs of cancer patients or healthcare providers are you uniquely positioned to address with your proposed 'cure in a pill'?
  2. Given the regulatory and ethical complexities of cancer treatment development, what is your plan for navigating these challenges and ensuring patient safety and accessibility?
  3. Considering the limited engagement with similar past attempts, what innovative approaches will you take to generate excitement and build trust with patients, healthcare professionals, and investors?

  • Confidence: Medium
    • Number of similar products: 3
  • Engagement: Low
    • Average number of comments: 1
  • Net use signal: 0.0%
    • Positive use signal: 0.0%
    • Negative use signal: 0.0%
  • Net buy signal: 0.0%
    • Positive buy signal: 0.0%
    • Negative buy signal: 0.0%

This chart summarizes all the similar products we found for your idea in a single plot.

The x-axis represents the overall feedback each product received. This is calculated from the net use and buy signals that were expressed in the comments. The maximum is +1, which means all comments (across all similar products) were positive, expressed a willingness to use & buy said product. The minimum is -1 and it means the exact opposite.

The y-axis captures the strength of the signal, i.e. how many people commented and how does this rank against other products in this category. The maximum is +1, which means these products were the most liked, upvoted and talked about launches recently. The minimum is 0, meaning zero engagement or feedback was received.

The sizes of the product dots are determined by the relevance to your idea, where 10 is the maximum.

Your idea is the big blueish dot, which should lie somewhere in the polygon defined by these products. It can be off-center because we use custom weighting to summarize these metrics.

Similar products

Relevance

CancerDB Pitch Deck. My cancer moonshot

Aloha HN,In 2018 I moved to Hawai'i from Seattle for my wife's job and was surprised to learn there was no software industry there (I assumed there would be, being in the middle of China and the West Coast). So I looked around for interesting things to work on and ended up joining the University of Hawai'i Cancer Center.At first I didn't know anything about cancer or biology, but knew a lot about software, AI, and data science. About a year in it started to click that this was a big information problem. And I had an idea on how to solve those.Working at a cancer center I became someone my friends would come to when they (or their parents) were diagnosed with cancer. Sadly, two very close friends passed, and it broke my heart that I failed to help them. I kept at it.Finally, last fall, I got the first glimmer of hope that my idea might have promise. The idea is to build a massive strongly typed database with a huge number of edges. Another way to put it is just building a massive (very, very high quality) CSV file.It will work. It will radically improve cancer outcomes. (And of course, all other research domains will then follow our lead)It's starting to come to life. Hoping to accelerate it with outside funds. And not sell my house (but I will if I have to).Would love any feedback. You don't have to sugar coat anything, I have very thick skin.Thanks! -Breck

Comments highlight concerns about potential dangers in some cities, mention a move to Hawai'i for developing a cancer research database, and inquire about servers while praising the Hetionet dataset.

The criticisms highlight two main concerns: the potential for the product or service to cause fatalities, and the lack of a software industry in Hawai'i, which could impact its relevance or adoption in that region.


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